Southport 3-2 Radcliffe Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.65/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.46
+18% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 1-1 HT 0-0 Southport Southport FAK
08.02.2025 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 4-1 HT 2-0 Southport Southport İCON
07.09.2024 Southport Southport 2-2 HT 0-2 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
3-2
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southport vs Radcliffe Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport nicked a narrow win over Radcliffe Borough 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Southport made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Southport had 58% of the ball to Radcliffe Borough's 42%, shots finished 20-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Radcliffe Borough led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Southport and 2.33 for Radcliffe Borough.

What was the final score of Southport vs Radcliffe Borough?

Southport 3-2 Radcliffe Borough in the England - FA Cup on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Radcliffe Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radcliffe Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Southport 33%, draw 27%, Radcliffe Borough 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radcliffe Borough), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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