Kosta Rika 3-0 Guatemala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
20.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kosta Rika EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guatemala EU Bookmakers 23%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-75% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
407 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 75%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.9 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kosta Rika
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Guatemala
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.69 xG 0.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
244 Passes 317
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2024 Guatemala Guatemala 0-0 HT 0-0 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika CON
16.06.2023 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 0-1 HT 0-1 Guatemala Guatemala HAZTUR
23.03.2019 Guatemala Guatemala 1-0 HT 1-0 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kosta Rika
3-0
AWAY Guatemala
2.24 xG 0.76
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 9
183 Passes 362
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kosta Rika vs Guatemala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosta Rika swept aside Guatemala 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kosta Rika as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Kosta Rika had 38% of the ball to Guatemala's 62%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.24 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guatemala led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kosta Rika and 0.67 for Guatemala.

What was the final score of Kosta Rika vs Guatemala?

Kosta Rika 3-0 Guatemala in the CONCACAF Champions League on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kosta Rika vs Guatemala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kosta Rika win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kosta Rika 50%, draw 23%, Guatemala 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kosta Rika), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kosta Rika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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