16/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Martinik vs Guadeloupe Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92
— our 32% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
31%
Draw
27%
33%
Away Win
35%
57%
Under 2.5
53%
43%
Over 2.5
47%
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
51%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Martinik v Guadeloupe — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Martinik
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Guadeloupe
EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% /
-7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-25%
/
+14%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
301 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
318 · 74%
32.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
14.0
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
Martinik vs Guadeloupe Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Martinik
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Guadeloupe
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
1.60
xG
0.60
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
7
289
Passes
247
76%
Pass Accuracy
73%
14
Box Touches
21
11
Crosses
15
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Martinik vs Guadeloupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Martinik and Guadeloupe played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Martinik vs Guadeloupe?
Martinik 0-0 Guadeloupe in the CONCACAF Champions League on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Martinik vs Guadeloupe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Martinik win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Martinik 36%, draw 31%, Guadeloupe 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Martinik) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Martinik)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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CON
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16 Oct 2024