16/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Bermuda vs Dominika Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
76%
20%
Draw
15%
25%
Away Win
10%
42%
Under 2.5
28%
58%
Over 2.5
72%
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
53%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bermuda v Dominika — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bermuda
EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dominika
EU Bookmakers 12%
+26% /
+26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-12% /
-12%
1.42/1.66
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.06/2.40
+14%
/
-25%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-51%
/
+8%
61%
Ball Possession
39%
19
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
424 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
246 · 74%
25.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0
10.0
Crosses
6.0
1.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
Bermuda vs Dominika Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bermuda
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Dominika
6.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Bermuda vs Dominika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bermuda nicked a narrow win over Dominika 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bermuda as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Bermuda vs Dominika?
Bermuda 3-2 Dominika in the CONCACAF Champions League on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bermuda vs Dominika?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bermuda win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bermuda 55%, draw 20%, Dominika 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bermuda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bermuda)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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CON
More CONCACAF Champions League
16 Oct 2024