Vukovar 1-1 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 19%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.66/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.57
+0% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
294 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 2-2 HT 1-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
09.03.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 3-2 HT 1-1 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
27.09.2023 Vukovar Vukovar 4-1 HT 2-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
1-1
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar and Bijelo Brdo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vukovar at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vukovar had 64% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 36%, shots finished 17-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vukovar had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Vukovar and 1.67 for Bijelo Brdo.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Bijelo Brdo?

Vukovar 1-1 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 56%, draw 26%, Bijelo Brdo 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vukovar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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