Racing Club Montevideo 2-1 Rampla Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 23%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.03/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.71
-35% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rampla Juniors
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
07.08.2022 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU2
22.09.2021 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 HT 0-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU2
25.10.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 3-1 HT 1-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
31.08.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-4 HT 1-2 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
05.04.2015 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-3 HT 0-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
2-1
AWAY Rampla Juniors
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Rampla Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo squeezed past Rampla Juniors 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Racing Club Montevideo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 51% of the ball to Rampla Juniors's 49%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.50 for Rampla Juniors.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Rampla Juniors?

Racing Club Montevideo 2-1 Rampla Juniors in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Rampla Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 46%, draw 28%, Rampla Juniors 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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