Danubio vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Danubio v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Danubio vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
CA Penarol
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
2-0
HT 1-0
Danubio
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Danubio
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
Danubio 0-1 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol edged past Danubio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Danubio had 38% of the ball to CA Penarol's 62%, shots finished 4-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Danubio and 1.17 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Danubio vs CA Penarol?
Danubio 0-1 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Danubio vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Danubio 32%, draw 28%, CA Penarol 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.