Bayern München (K) 2-1 Juventus (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 16 Oct 2025

📅16/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
73%
1.27
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
39%
4-5
28%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bayern München (K) win — 73%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
74%
-1.7pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.1pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.10/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.54
-19% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +70%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
18.0 Crosses 10.5
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Juventus (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.21 xG 0.66
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
728 Passes 227
91% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.12.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) ŞMP-K
16.10.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
2-1
AWAY Juventus (K)
2.35 xG 0.37
75% Ball Possession 25%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
703 Passes 186
91% Pass Accuracy 75%
40 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Juventus (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) nicked a narrow win over Juventus (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 75% of the ball to Juventus (K)'s 25%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.35 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayern München (K)'s control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayern München (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Bayern München (K) and 0.00 for Juventus (K).

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Bayern München (K) 2-1 Juventus (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 73%, draw 16%, Juventus (K) 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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