Dewa United 0-2 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 16 Oct 2025

📅16/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.27
Draw
13%
5.15
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
34%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
75%
-4.4pp
13%
Draw
17%
-3.8pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+8.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dewa United EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 11%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
2.30/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.27
+23% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -24%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dewa United
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Madura United
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 Madura United Madura United 3-1 HT 2-0 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
21.09.2024 Dewa United Dewa United 3-3 HT 2-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
02.02.2023 Dewa United Dewa United 1-1 HT 1-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
19.08.2022 Madura United Madura United 1-0 HT 1-0 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dewa United
0-2
AWAY Madura United
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dewa United vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United beat Dewa United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dewa United at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dewa United had 68% of the ball to Madura United's 32%, shots finished 23-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Madura United led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Dewa United and 2.00 for Madura United.

What was the final score of Dewa United vs Madura United?

Dewa United 0-2 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dewa United vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dewa United win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Dewa United 70%, draw 13%, Madura United 17%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dewa United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dewa United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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