Marquense 3-2 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 16 Oct 2025

📅16/10/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
16%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.24/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.25
+1% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 3-0 HT 1-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
06.04.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-3 HT 1-3 Marquense Marquense GUAT
02.02.2025 Marquense Marquense 0-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
13.10.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 4-2 Marquense Marquense GUAT
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense edged past Antigua GFC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Marquense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Marquense and 2.00 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Antigua GFC?

Marquense 3-2 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Marquense 34%, draw 31%, Antigua GFC 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Antigua GFC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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