Peterhead 2-3 Edinburgh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 28% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-4.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterhead EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +28%
2.17/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.57
+12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterhead
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Edinburgh City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
31.08.2024 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-4 HT 0-4 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
24.12.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 4-0 HT 1-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
29.10.2022 Peterhead Peterhead 1-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
05.10.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
23.03.2019 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
09.02.2019 Peterhead Peterhead 0-0 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
POST-MATCH Peterhead vs Edinburgh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City nicked a narrow win over Peterhead 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Peterhead at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Edinburgh City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Peterhead and 1.17 for Edinburgh City.

What was the final score of Peterhead vs Edinburgh City?

Peterhead 2-3 Edinburgh City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterhead vs Edinburgh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterhead win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Peterhead 60%, draw 20%, Edinburgh City 20%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Peterhead) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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