Stranraer 1-2 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.98
6+ Goals
12%
18.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.98 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.32/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.94
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.08.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
13.08.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 2-1 HT 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İKCK
30.03.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
03.02.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
16.12.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
19.08.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic edged past Stranraer 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stranraer at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stranraer had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stranraer and 1.00 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Stranraer 1-2 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 42%, draw 26%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stranraer) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stranraer) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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