Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.82
Over 2.5
39%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 35% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.1pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.96/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.67
-32% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stranraer
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
13.08.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 2-1 HT 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İKCK
30.03.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
03.02.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
16.12.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
19.08.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
01.04.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic got the better of Stranraer 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stranraer led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 1.17 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stranraer?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 45%, draw 28%, Stranraer 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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