31/08/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Stirling Albion vs Spartans Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24
— our 28% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
31%
Draw
26%
35%
Away Win
40%
55%
Under 2.5
50%
45%
Over 2.5
50%
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
52%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stirling Albion v Spartans — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Stirling Albion
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Spartans
EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% /
-15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+14% /
+14%
0.97/1.41
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.98/1.37
-25%
/
-4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+45%
/
-8%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
9
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
5
295 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
310 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Stirling Albion vs Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Stirling Albion squeezed past Spartans 1-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Stirling Albion found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Stirling Albion vs Spartans?
Stirling Albion 1-0 Spartans in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stirling Albion vs Spartans?
Before kick-off our model rated an Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Stirling Albion 34%, draw 31%, Spartans 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartans) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Spartans)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İK2
More Scotland - 2nd Division
31 Aug 2024