Forfar Athletic 1-1 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2024

Forfar Athletic
1-1 HT 0-0
Elgin City
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 32% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forfar Athletic v Elgin City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
1.33/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.70
+5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
238 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Elgin City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
The Meetings
23.03.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 1-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
13.01.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
21.11.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
15.08.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İKCK
12.08.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
15.04.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 2-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic and Elgin City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elgin City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Forfar Athletic and 0.83 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?

Forfar Athletic 1-1 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forfar Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 38%, draw 29%, Elgin City 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Forfar Athletic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forfar Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK2 More Scotland - 2nd Division
31 Aug 2024
17:00 Edinburgh City vs Peterhead Analysis →
17:00 Stirling Albion vs Spartans Analysis →
17:00 East Fife vs Clyde Analysis →
17:00 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Stranraer Analysis →