Elgin City 1-1 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

Elgin City
1-1 HT 1-1
Forfar Athletic
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.83
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.47 — our 37% vs market 34.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elgin City v Forfar Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.24/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.92
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
21.11.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
15.08.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İKCK
12.08.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
15.04.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 2-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
02.01.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City and Forfar Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Elgin City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elgin City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Elgin City and 0.33 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?

Elgin City 1-1 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 45%, draw 23%, Forfar Athletic 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Elgin City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elgin City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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