Dumbarton 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

Dumbarton
2-0 HT 1-0
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Dumbarton vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 30% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dumbarton v Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.65/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.97
-16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +53%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dumbarton vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
9 Corners 4
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
04.11.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 4-0 HT 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
05.08.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
22.07.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İKLK
15.04.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
28.01.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-0 HT 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton beat Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dumbarton as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dumbarton and 0.33 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Dumbarton 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 49%, draw 25%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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