Elgin City 2-1 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.64
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.2pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.26/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.93
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
164 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 5.0
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
31.08.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
23.03.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 1-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
13.01.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
21.11.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
15.08.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İKCK
12.08.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City nicked a narrow win over Forfar Athletic 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Elgin City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Elgin City and 0.67 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?

Elgin City 2-1 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 47%, draw 21%, Forfar Athletic 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elgin City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elgin City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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