Spennymoor Town 2-1 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.97
Over
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY South Shields
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
29.03.2024 South Shields South Shields 2-0 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
14.11.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-5 HT 1-2 South Shields South Shields İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
2-1
AWAY South Shields
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town edged past South Shields 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 54% of the ball to South Shields's 46%, shots finished 15-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, South Shields led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spennymoor Town and 3.50 for South Shields.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs South Shields?

Spennymoor Town 2-1 South Shields in the England - FA Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 47%, draw 27%, South Shields 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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