Langreo 0-2 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.8pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Langreo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.26/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.07
+13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
199 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Langreo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Real Aviles
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.02.2024 Langreo Langreo 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
01.10.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-2 HT 1-0 Langreo Langreo İS4
29.04.2023 Langreo Langreo 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
18.12.2022 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-0 HT 1-0 Langreo Langreo İS4
20.03.2022 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-2 HT 1-0 Langreo Langreo İS4
30.10.2021 Langreo Langreo 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Langreo
0-2
AWAY Real Aviles
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Langreo vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles beat Langreo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Real Aviles found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Langreo had 66% of the ball to Real Aviles's 34%, shots finished 26-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Aviles led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Langreo and 1.67 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Langreo vs Real Aviles?

Langreo 0-2 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Langreo vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Langreo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Langreo 37%, draw 29%, Real Aviles 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Langreo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Langreo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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