Talavera CF 1-0 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-7.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+7.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.5pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.21/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.59
-14% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF edged past Conquense 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Talavera CF as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Conquense?

Talavera CF 1-0 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 47%, draw 26%, Conquense 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talavera CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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