Pontevedra 1-0 Bergantinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
2.06/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.51
+23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bergantinos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.02.2022 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-1 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
26.09.2021 Bergantinos Bergantinos 2-2 HT 0-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
1-0
AWAY Bergantinos
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Bergantinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra squeezed past Bergantinos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Pontevedra had 67% of the ball to Bergantinos's 33%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bergantinos led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pontevedra and 1.50 for Bergantinos.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Bergantinos?

Pontevedra 1-0 Bergantinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Bergantinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 58%, draw 23%, Bergantinos 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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