Buchbach 1-1 Schweinfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+7.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -30%
1.37/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.77
+0% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Schweinfurt
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 6
02.08.2024 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 3-1 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
11.11.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 4-1 HT 1-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 3-1 HT 2-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 2-2 HT 0-1 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
22.07.2022 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
10.11.2021 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 3-0 HT 2-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Schweinfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach and Schweinfurt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Schweinfurt at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schweinfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Buchbach and 2.17 for Schweinfurt.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Schweinfurt?

Buchbach 1-1 Schweinfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Schweinfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Schweinfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 36%, draw 21%, Schweinfurt 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Schweinfurt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Schweinfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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