Aubstadt 1-3 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-4.4pp
36%
Draw
28%
+8.9pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.23/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.22
-11% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Illertissen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
02.08.2024 Illertissen Illertissen 3-1 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
20.04.2024 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-2 HT 0-2 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
03.10.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 1-0 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
01.04.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 1-3 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
10.09.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 4-1 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
12.03.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen saw off Aubstadt 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 24% / 36% / 40% — and on the day Illertissen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Illertissen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aubstadt and 1.50 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Illertissen?

Aubstadt 1-3 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 24%, draw 36%, Illertissen 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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