Illertissen 3-1 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.29
Over 2.5
45%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
40%
+15.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
60%
-15.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 19%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.55/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.94
+19% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 24.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aubstadt
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-2 HT 0-2 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
03.10.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 1-0 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
01.04.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 1-3 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
10.09.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 4-1 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
12.03.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
20.08.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 1-2 HT 1-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen saw off Aubstadt 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Illertissen as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aubstadt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Illertissen and 1.67 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Aubstadt?

Illertissen 3-1 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 58%, draw 24%, Aubstadt 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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