Viktoria Aschaffenburg 4-1 Ansbach 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.2pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.41/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.92
-12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Ansbach 09
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 4-1 HT 2-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 3-0 HT 2-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
14.04.2023 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
24.09.2022 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 2-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Ansbach 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Aschaffenburg ran out comfortable winners over Ansbach 09 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Viktoria Aschaffenburg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ansbach 09 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Viktoria Aschaffenburg and 2.50 for Ansbach 09.

What was the final score of Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Ansbach 09?

Viktoria Aschaffenburg 4-1 Ansbach 09 in the Germany - Regional League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Ansbach 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Aschaffenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Aschaffenburg 40%, draw 22%, Ansbach 09 38%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Aschaffenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Aschaffenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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