Melbourne City (K) 2-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 16 Nov 2024

Melbourne City (K)
2-2 HT 2-1
Central Coast Mariners (K)
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Melbourne City (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne City (K) v Central Coast Mariners (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.18/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.18
-20% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
37.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
11.0 Crosses 17.4
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Melbourne City (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne City (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.61 xG 1.61
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
360 Passes 300
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.03.2024 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
15.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW

Melbourne City (K) 2-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne City (K)
2-2
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.77 xG 1.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
312 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Melbourne City (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City (K) and Central Coast Mariners (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne City (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Melbourne City (K) had 52% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 48%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.77 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Melbourne City (K) and 0.50 for Central Coast Mariners (K).

What was the final score of Melbourne City (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Melbourne City (K) 2-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City (K) 47%, draw 23%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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