16/11/2024
·
15:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
C' Chartres vs Caen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS Yes
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
6%
23%
Draw
15%
53%
Away Win
80%
44%
Under 2.5
31%
56%
Over 2.5
69%
55%
BTTS Yes
45%
45%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
C' Chartres v Caen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
C' Chartres
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Caen
EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+14%
/
+126%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
8
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
6
167 · 68%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
480 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
C' Chartres vs Caen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Caen ran out comfortable winners over C' Chartres 4-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Caen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.
What was the final score of C' Chartres vs Caen?
C' Chartres 0-4 Caen in the France - Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for C' Chartres vs Caen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split C' Chartres 23%, draw 23%, Caen 53%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Caen)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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FRK
More France - Cup
16 Nov 2024