16/11/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Cesson vs La Tour DAuvergne Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
23%
Draw
28%
38%
Away Win
34%
49%
Under 2.5
56%
51%
Over 2.5
44%
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
54%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cesson v La Tour DAuvergne — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cesson
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
La Tour DAuvergne
EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
331 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
331 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Cesson vs La Tour DAuvergne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cesson and La Tour DAuvergne shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Cesson vs La Tour DAuvergne?
Cesson 2-2 La Tour DAuvergne in the France - Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cesson vs La Tour DAuvergne?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cesson win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cesson 39%, draw 23%, La Tour DAuvergne 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Cesson), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Cesson)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FRK
More France - Cup
16 Nov 2024