Drancy 2-1 Pays de Cassel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.59
Over
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
35%
4-5
24%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drancy The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pays de Cassel The Market 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drancy
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Pays de Cassel
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
24.02.2024 Pays de Cassel Pays de Cassel 0-0 HT 0-0 Drancy Drancy FRUL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drancy
2-1
AWAY Pays de Cassel
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Drancy vs Pays de Cassel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drancy squeezed past Pays de Cassel 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Drancy made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Drancy had 41% of the ball to Pays de Cassel's 59%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Drancy vs Pays de Cassel?

Drancy 2-1 Pays de Cassel in the France - Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drancy vs Pays de Cassel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drancy win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Drancy 37%, draw 33%, Pays de Cassel 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drancy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drancy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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