Fontenay 1-2 La Roche-sur-Yon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.9pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fontenay EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY La Roche-sur-Yon EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fontenay vs La Roche-sur-Yon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Roche-sur-Yon edged past Fontenay 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fontenay at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Fontenay vs La Roche-sur-Yon?

Fontenay 1-2 La Roche-sur-Yon in the France - Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fontenay vs La Roche-sur-Yon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fontenay win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fontenay 44%, draw 25%, La Roche-sur-Yon 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fontenay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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