16/11/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
St-Philbert vs Thouars Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
25%
Draw
28%
40%
Away Win
28%
45%
Under 2.5
55%
55%
Over 2.5
45%
59%
BTTS Yes
50%
41%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St-Philbert v Thouars — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
St-Philbert
EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Thouars
EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% /
+42%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+52%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
282 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
309 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
St-Philbert vs Thouars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
St-Philbert cruised past Thouars 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day St-Philbert made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.
What was the final score of St-Philbert vs Thouars?
St-Philbert 3-0 Thouars in the France - Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St-Philbert vs Thouars?
Before kick-off our model rated an Thouars win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St-Philbert 35%, draw 25%, Thouars 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Thouars), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Thouars)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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FRK
More France - Cup
16 Nov 2024