Bangladeş 2-1 Maldivler — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
5.26
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangladeş EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Maldivler EU Bookmakers 24%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
0.31/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.27
-83% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangladeş
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Maldivler
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.94 xG 0.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
265 Passes 272
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.11.2024 Bangladeş Bangladeş 0-1 Maldivler Maldivler HAZ
17.10.2023 Bangladeş Bangladeş 2-1 HT 1-1 Maldivler Maldivler DKE
12.10.2023 Maldivler Maldivler 1-1 HT 0-0 Bangladeş Bangladeş DKE
25.06.2023 Bangladeş Bangladeş 3-1 HT 1-1 Maldivler Maldivler AFCS
POST-MATCH Bangladeş vs Maldivler
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangladeş nicked a narrow win over Maldivler 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bangladeş as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bangladeş had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bangladeş and 1.00 for Maldivler.

What was the final score of Bangladeş vs Maldivler?

Bangladeş 2-1 Maldivler in the Friendlies on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangladeş vs Maldivler?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangladeş win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bangladeş 45%, draw 29%, Maldivler 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangladeş) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bangladeş) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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