Fransa U20 1-1 Danimarka U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.06
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
3.14
6+ Goals
7%
10.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.14 — our 32% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa U20 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Danimarka U20 EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa U20
1-1
AWAY Danimarka U20
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fransa U20 vs Danimarka U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa U20 and Danimarka U20 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Fransa U20 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fransa U20 had 42% of the ball to Danimarka U20's 58%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Fransa U20 vs Danimarka U20?

Fransa U20 1-1 Danimarka U20 in the Friendlies on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa U20 vs Danimarka U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fransa U20 48%, draw 27%, Danimarka U20 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fransa U20), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fransa U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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