Portekiz U19 4-1 Romanya U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Nov 2024

Portekiz U19
4-1
Romanya U19
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Portekiz U19 vs Romanya U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.33
Over 2.5
65%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
31%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.69
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.84 — our 31% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
15%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
67%
-1.9pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.5pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
39%
-3.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
61%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portekiz U19 v Romanya U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz U19 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Romanya U19 EU Bookmakers 16%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
3.94/0.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/2.65
+98% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Portekiz U19 4-1 Romanya U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz U19
4-1
AWAY Romanya U19
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portekiz U19 vs Romanya U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz U19 swept aside Romanya U19 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portekiz U19 as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Portekiz U19 had 50% of the ball to Romanya U19's 50%, shots finished 7-18.

What was the final score of Portekiz U19 vs Romanya U19?

Portekiz U19 4-1 Romanya U19 in the Friendlies on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz U19 vs Romanya U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Portekiz U19 65%, draw 18%, Romanya U19 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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