HNK Cibalia 1-0 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.2pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 46%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.08/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.79
+26% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Vukovar
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 2-0 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
01.06.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-5 HT 0-1 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
17.11.2023 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 0-1 HT 0-0 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
1-0
AWAY Vukovar
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia nicked a narrow win over Vukovar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 39% — and on the day HNK Cibalia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 46% of the ball to Vukovar's 54%, shots finished 5-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vukovar led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for HNK Cibalia and 2.67 for Vukovar.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Vukovar?

HNK Cibalia 1-0 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 33%, draw 27%, Vukovar 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vukovar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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