Sibenik 1-2 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.11
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.65
2-3 Goals
47%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
21%
Draw
29%
-7.6pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+10.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.84
-50% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +101%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.97 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
302 Passes 289
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-2 HT 1-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
09.08.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 2-0 HT 2-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
25.04.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 3-1 HT 2-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
17.02.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
14.10.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 0-2 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
06.08.2022 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
1-2
AWAY Slaven Belupo
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slaven Belupo nicked a narrow win over Sibenik 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sibenik at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sibenik had 43% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 57%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sibenik had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sibenik and 0.83 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Slaven Belupo?

Sibenik 1-2 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sibenik win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 44%, draw 21%, Slaven Belupo 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sibenik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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