Ballyclare Comrades 1-4 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.96
Over 2.5
49%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.35
No
54%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
7.37
2-3 Goals
43%
2.25
4-5 Goals
22%
2.46
6+ Goals
12%
4.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 7.37 — our 23% vs market 9.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+10.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
30%
+21.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
70%
-21.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
70%
-23.7pp
54%
BTTS No
30%
+23.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballyclare Comrades EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -17%
1.74/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.15
-12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
295 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballyclare Comrades
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-0 HT 0-0 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
26.04.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-4 HT 0-2 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
27.01.2024 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 3-1 HT 1-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
02.09.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 2-1 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
12.11.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-1 HT 0-1 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
13.09.2022 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 4-2 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KILK
POST-MATCH Ballyclare Comrades vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United swept aside Ballyclare Comrades 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Ballinamallard United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballyclare Comrades had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ballyclare Comrades and 1.50 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Ballyclare Comrades vs Ballinamallard United?

Ballyclare Comrades 1-4 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballyclare Comrades vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ballyclare Comrades 38%, draw 23%, Ballinamallard United 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballinamallard United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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