Institute FC 2-4 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
29%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.54/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.88
-21% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Ards FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
03.02.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRK
27.01.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
22.12.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 3-2 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
13.10.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
28.01.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC saw off Institute FC 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Ards FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Institute FC and 1.17 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Ards FC?

Institute FC 2-4 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 38%, draw 26%, Ards FC 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Institute FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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