Kalisz 3-1 Swit Skolwin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.66
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
4.51
6+ Goals
11%
23.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.51 — our 25% vs market 17.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Swit Skolwin EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.44/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.32
-3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Swit Skolwin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
21.07.2024 Swit Skolwin 1-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
3-1
AWAY Swit Skolwin
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Swit Skolwin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz beat Swit Skolwin 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Kalisz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kalisz had 43% of the ball to Swit Skolwin's 57%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Swit Skolwin?

Kalisz 3-1 Swit Skolwin in the Poland - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Swit Skolwin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 40%, draw 29%, Swit Skolwin 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalisz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kalisz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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