Olimpia Elblag 1-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.69
6+ Goals
12%
15.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 25% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 53%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.23/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.97
-3% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Elblag
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Elblag
1-1
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Olimpia Elblag vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Elblag and Podbeskidzie Bielsko couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Podbeskidzie Bielsko at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Olimpia Elblag had 53% of the ball to Podbeskidzie Bielsko's 47%, shots finished 19-11.

What was the final score of Olimpia Elblag vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Olimpia Elblag 1-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko in the Poland - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Elblag vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Before kick-off our model rated an Podbeskidzie Bielsko win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Elblag 30%, draw 28%, Podbeskidzie Bielsko 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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