Polonia Bytom 0-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
14%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.16/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.31
+43% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2024 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-0 HT 2-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
0-1
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki squeezed past Polonia Bytom 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Polonia Bytom at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 62% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 38%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Polonia Bytom 0-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 48%, draw 24%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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