Rayo Majadahonda 1-0 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.5pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
0.85/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.12
-35% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Madrid III
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III 0-1 HT 0-0 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS4
07.12.2024 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
1-0
AWAY Real Madrid III
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Majadahonda edged past Real Madrid III 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; Rayo Majadahonda found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rayo Majadahonda had 47% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 53%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rayo Majadahonda had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rayo Majadahonda and 0.50 for Real Madrid III.

What was the final score of Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Madrid III?

Rayo Majadahonda 1-0 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Majadahonda win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rayo Majadahonda 40%, draw 33%, Real Madrid III 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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