Real Madrid III 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.2pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
0.73/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.16
-39% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid III
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
07.12.2024 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid III
0-1
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Madrid III vs Rayo Majadahonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Majadahonda nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid III 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Rayo Majadahonda found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Madrid III had 52% of the ball to Rayo Majadahonda's 48%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Real Madrid III vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Real Madrid III 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid III vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid III win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid III 38%, draw 29%, Rayo Majadahonda 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Madrid III) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid III) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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