20/04/2025
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Villanovense vs Xerez Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
32%
Draw
29%
39%
Away Win
49%
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
62%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villanovense v Xerez — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Villanovense
EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY
Xerez
EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% /
-4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+38% /
+38%
0.73/0.86
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/0.00
-17%
/
+42%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+47%
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
9
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
225 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
311 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.7
Yellow Cards
3.5
Villanovense vs Xerez Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Villanovense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Xerez
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
52%
Ball Possession
48%
6
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Target
6
9
Corners
4
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Villanovense vs Xerez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Villanovense squeezed past Xerez 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Villanovense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
What was the final score of Villanovense vs Xerez?
Villanovense 1-0 Xerez in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villanovense vs Xerez?
Before kick-off our model rated an Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Villanovense 30%, draw 32%, Xerez 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Xerez) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Xerez)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
20 Apr 2025