SS Reyes 2-2 Illescas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Illescas EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.90/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.37
+15% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Reyes
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Illescas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Illescas 2-1 HT 0-0 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
17.03.2024 Illescas 0-0 HT 0-0 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
05.11.2023 SS Reyes SS Reyes 2-0 HT 0-0 Illescas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Reyes
2-2
AWAY Illescas
44% Ball Possession 56%
22 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SS Reyes vs Illescas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes and Illescas shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SS Reyes at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SS Reyes had 44% of the ball to Illescas's 56%, shots finished 22-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SS Reyes and 0.67 for Illescas.

What was the final score of SS Reyes vs Illescas?

SS Reyes 2-2 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Reyes vs Illescas?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Reyes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SS Reyes 46%, draw 28%, Illescas 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SS Reyes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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