Rayo Cantabria 4-1 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.67/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.05
+29% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Cantabria
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Aviles
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-2 HT 1-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
31.03.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
19.11.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-2 HT 1-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
25.03.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
06.11.2022 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
4-1
AWAY Real Aviles
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria ran out comfortable winners over Real Aviles 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Rayo Cantabria made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 42% of the ball to Real Aviles's 58%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rayo Cantabria had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Rayo Cantabria and 1.00 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs Real Aviles?

Rayo Cantabria 4-1 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 37%, draw 30%, Real Aviles 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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