Santos vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Santos v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Santos 1-0 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Santos came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Palmeiras 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
The model refused to pick a side here (33% / 30% / 37%); Santos picked one for it.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 52%. The market went further still — the under-2.5 price closed at 1.68, about 60%.
By the numbers, Santos had 55% of the ball to Palmeiras's 45%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.25 to 1.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santos and 1.33 for Palmeiras.
Santos vs Palmeiras Result & Final Score
Santos 1 - 0 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Santos vs Palmeiras Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Santos 33%, draw 30%, Palmeiras 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS Yes went the other way.