Sport Recife 1-5 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.4
Draw
19%
4.08
Away Pick
69%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.97
No
51%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.53
2-3
46%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.29
6+
6%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
11.6
1/2
3%
23.1
1/X
4%
20.05
X/1
5%
13.45
X/2
22%
3.89
X/X
12%
6.0
2/1
1%
35.0
2/2
43%
1.79
2/X
4%
17.4
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sport Recife The Market 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo The Market 69%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.91 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.20
1.84 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.77
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
241 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 86%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Recife
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Flamengo
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.61 xG 2.32
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
287 Passes 446
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 3-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
04.12.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-1 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
15.08.2021 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
02.02.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-3 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
08.10.2020 Flamengo Flamengo 3-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
18.11.2018 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Recife
1 - 5
AWAY Flamengo
0.45 xG 3.74
25% Ball Possession 75%
7 Total Shots 35
2 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 15
133 Passes 512
69% Pass Accuracy 91%
7 Box Touches 46
7 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Sport Recife vs Flamengo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Flamengo dismantled Sport Recife 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.74, about 57%.

The match data tells the story: Sport Recife had 25% of the ball to Flamengo's 75%, shots finished 7-35, expected goals 0.45 to 3.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Sport Recife and 2.17 for Flamengo.

Sport Recife vs Flamengo Result & Final Score

Sport Recife 1 - 5 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sport Recife vs Flamengo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 12%, draw 19%, Flamengo 69%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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