Flamengo 3-0 Sport Recife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.4
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
9%
24.45
X/1
21%
3.68
X/2
3%
23.55
X/X
5%
8.08
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
3%
22.25
2/X
5%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
76%
-3.5pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.5pp
9%
Away Win
8%
+0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 11%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.90/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.86
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +9%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
474 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 76%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.9 Crosses 15.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sport Recife
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.25 xG 0.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
444 Passes 311
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-1 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
15.08.2021 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
02.02.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-3 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
08.10.2020 Flamengo Flamengo 3-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
18.11.2018 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
29.07.2018 Flamengo Flamengo 4-1 HT 1-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
3-0
AWAY Sport Recife
2.65 xG 0.16
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 8
513 Passes 210
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 4
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Sport Recife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo ran out comfortable winners over Sport Recife 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Flamengo had 67% of the ball to Sport Recife's 33%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 2.65 to 0.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Flamengo and 0.33 for Sport Recife.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Sport Recife?

Flamengo 3-0 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Sport Recife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 72%, draw 19%, Sport Recife 9%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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